Preston vs West Brom — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes West Brom the pick at 43% for Preston vs West Brom. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Preston host West Brom on 24 October 2026 at Deepdale Stadium, Preston. West Brom are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 12 fixture in Championship is listed as Preston - West Brom. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Preston: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 59 conceded in 43 matches, 1.19 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.6 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -15.
West Brom: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (45 scored and 56 conceded in 44 matches, 1.02 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Preston | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -15 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 12 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 44 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.19 / 1.37 | 1.02 / 1.27 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.6 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 43% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 0 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Preston none wins, West Brom three wins, one draw — an edge to West Brom.
- Most recent meeting: Preston 0-2 West Brom on 18 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.75 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the four — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Preston 24.6 versus West Brom 49.1, a gap of 24.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 19 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Preston carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans West Brom's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards West Brom at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. West Brom's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Preston or West Brom?
West Brom, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 28% Preston, 28% the draw and 43% West Brom.
When and where is Preston vs West Brom being played?
24 October 2026 at Deepdale Stadium, Preston, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Preston and West Brom?
Preston 0-2 West Brom on 18 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Preston and West Brom?
Preston have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), West Brom 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Preston took a 1-4 defeat away at Wrexham and West Brom a 3-2 win at home to Blackburn.
How many goals are expected in Preston vs West Brom?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for Preston and 1.60 for West Brom. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Preston and four for West Brom at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.