West Ham vs West Brom match summary and prediction — Championship
Our model makes West Ham the pick at 63% for West Ham vs West Brom. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
West Ham face West Brom on 31 October 2026 at London Stadium, London. West Ham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 13 fixture in Championship is listed as West Ham - West Brom. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
West Ham: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 62 conceded in 37 matches, 1.32 and 1.68 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +17.
West Brom: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (45 scored and 56 conceded in 44 matches, 1.02 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | West Ham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +17 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDD | DWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 6 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 37 | 44 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.32 / 1.68 | 1.02 / 1.27 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.9 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 16% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: West Ham 55.9 versus West Brom 49.1, a gap of 6.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans West Ham's way at 67%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards West Ham at 63%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts West Ham's way, especially at London Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: West Ham or West Brom?
West Ham, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% West Ham, 22% the draw and 16% West Brom.
When and where is West Ham vs West Brom being played?
31 October 2026 at London Stadium, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have West Ham and West Brom met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of West Ham and West Brom?
West Ham have taken 8 points from their last five (LWWDD), West Brom 7 from theirs (DWWLL). Most recently West Ham took a 2-3 defeat at home to Southampton and West Brom a 1-1 draw away at Preston.
How many goals are expected in West Ham vs West Brom?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 3.20 for West Ham and 1.60 for West Brom. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for West Ham and six for West Brom at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.