West Brom vs Southampton — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between West Brom and Southampton on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
West Brom face Southampton on 3 November 2026 at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Southampton are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 14 fixture in Championship is listed as West Brom - Southampton. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
West Brom: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (45 scored and 56 conceded in 44 matches, 1.02 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Southampton: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (90 scored and 55 conceded in 49 matches, 1.84 and 1.12 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.3 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +12.
Side by side
| Statistic | West Brom | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLL | WDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 44 | 49 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.02 / 1.27 | 1.84 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.14 | 1.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 61.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 38% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): West Brom none wins, Southampton one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: West Brom 1-1 Southampton on 11 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: West Brom 49.1 versus Southampton 61.3, a gap of 12.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Southampton's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Southampton is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: West Brom or Southampton?
Southampton, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 37% West Brom, 24% the draw and 38% Southampton.
When and where is West Brom vs Southampton being played?
3 November 2026 at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between West Brom and Southampton?
West Brom 1-1 Southampton on 11 March 2026.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Southampton?
West Brom have taken 7 points from their last five (DWWLL), Southampton 10 from theirs (WDWWL). Most recently West Brom took a 1-1 draw away at Preston and Southampton a 3-2 win away at West Ham.
How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Southampton?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.60 for West Brom and 2.40 for Southampton. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.