Blackburn vs West Ham: the numbers, the form and our prediction
West Ham travel to Blackburn needing a result to steady a season that has drifted — 8th and still looking for rhythm. Form, comparison data and the model's read, below.
Match summary
Blackburn face West Ham on 7 November 2026 at Ewood Park, Blackburn. West Ham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 15 fixture in Championship is listed as Blackburn - West Ham. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Blackburn: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -1.
West Ham: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 14 conceded in eight matches, 3.0 and 1.75 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +15. For a club of West Ham's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Side by side
| Statistic | Blackburn | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWW | LLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 11 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.43 | 3.0 / 1.75 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.8 | 52.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 47% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Blackburn 54.8 versus West Ham 52.1, a gap of 2.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: West Ham are 8th with a goal difference of +15 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans West Ham's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to West Ham at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Blackburn's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Blackburn or West Ham?
West Ham, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 29% Blackburn, 24% the draw and 47% West Ham.
When and where is Blackburn vs West Ham being played?
7 November 2026 at Ewood Park, Blackburn, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Blackburn and West Ham met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and West Ham?
Blackburn have taken 9 points from their last five (LWLWW), West Ham 7 from theirs (LLWWD). Most recently Blackburn took a 0-4 defeat away at Swansea and West Ham a 1-3 defeat at home to West Brom.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs West Ham?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.40 for Blackburn and 2.80 for West Ham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.