Charlton vs Sheffield Utd: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Sheffield Utd the pick at 50% for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Charlton face Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026 at The Valley, London. Sheffield Utd are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 15 fixture in Championship is listed as Charlton - Sheffield Utd. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Charlton: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 13 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 1.86 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.2 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -10.
Sheffield Utd: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 8 conceded in eight matches, 1.38 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Charlton | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDD | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.57 / 1.86 | 1.38 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.71 | 1.75 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.2 | 58.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 20% | 50% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Charlton 29.2 versus Sheffield Utd 58.8, a gap of 29.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Sheffield Utd's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sheffield Utd at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sheffield Utd's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Charlton or Sheffield Utd?
Sheffield Utd, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 20% Charlton, 30% the draw and 50% Sheffield Utd.
When and where is Charlton vs Sheffield Utd being played?
7 November 2026 at The Valley, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Charlton and Sheffield Utd?
Sheffield Utd 0-1 Charlton on 20 September 2025.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Sheffield Utd?
Charlton have taken 2 points from their last five (LLLDD), Sheffield Utd 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently Charlton took a 0-3 defeat away at Middlesbrough and Sheffield Utd a 1-0 win at home to Wrexham.
How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.20 for Charlton and 1.00 for Sheffield Utd. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.