QPR vs Lincoln: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Lincoln the pick at 41% for QPR vs Lincoln. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
QPR host Lincoln on 7 November 2026 at Loftus Road, London. Lincoln are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 15 fixture in Championship is listed as QPR - Lincoln. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
QPR: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.6 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +5.
Lincoln: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 12 conceded in nine matches, 1.33 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | QPR | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWD | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 9 | 7 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.17 | 1.33 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.6 | 36.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 41% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: QPR 49.6 versus Lincoln 36.1, a gap of 13.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Lincoln's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Lincoln at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. QPR's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: QPR or Lincoln?
Lincoln, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 34% QPR, 25% the draw and 41% Lincoln.
When and where is QPR vs Lincoln being played?
7 November 2026 at Loftus Road, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have QPR and Lincoln met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of QPR and Lincoln?
QPR have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLWD), Lincoln 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently QPR took a 1-4 defeat away at Southampton and Lincoln a 1-3 defeat at home to Birmingham.
How many goals are expected in QPR vs Lincoln?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for QPR and 1.80 for Lincoln. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.