West Brom vs Millwall match summary and prediction — Championship
Our model makes West Brom the pick at 40% for West Brom vs Millwall. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
West Brom face Millwall on 7 November 2026 at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. West Brom are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 15 fixture in Championship is listed as West Brom - Millwall. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
West Brom: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 4 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 0.67 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Millwall: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 12 conceded in eight matches, 1.88 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | West Brom | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWL | WLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.83 / 0.67 | 1.88 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.33 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.6 | 48.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 31% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): West Brom none wins, Millwall one win, three draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: West Brom 0-0 Millwall on 10 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the four — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: West Brom 59.6 versus Millwall 48.8, a gap of 10.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans West Brom's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards West Brom at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts West Brom's way, especially at The Hawthorns.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: West Brom or Millwall?
West Brom, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% West Brom, 29% the draw and 31% Millwall.
When and where is West Brom vs Millwall being played?
7 November 2026 at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between West Brom and Millwall?
West Brom 0-0 Millwall on 10 April 2026.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Millwall?
West Brom have taken 10 points from their last five (WDWWL), Millwall 7 from theirs (WLDLW). Most recently West Brom took a 3-1 win away at West Ham and Millwall a 4-1 win at home to Derby.
How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Millwall?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for West Brom and 2.00 for Millwall. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.