Wrexham vs Wolves — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Wolves the pick at 46% for Wrexham vs Wolves. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wrexham face Wolves on 7 November 2026 at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham. Wolves are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 15 fixture in Championship is listed as Wrexham - Wolves. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Wrexham: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (1 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 0.17 and 1.83 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -4.
Wolves: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Wrexham | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLD | WWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.17 / 1.83 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.33 | 2.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.3 | 60.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Wrexham 37.3 versus Wolves 60.1, a gap of 22.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Wolves' way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Wolves at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Wolves' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wrexham or Wolves?
Wolves, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 25% Wrexham, 29% the draw and 46% Wolves.
When and where is Wrexham vs Wolves being played?
7 November 2026 at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have Wrexham and Wolves met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Wolves?
Wrexham have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWLD), Wolves 10 from theirs (WWDWL). Most recently Wrexham took a 0-1 defeat away at Sheffield Utd and Wolves a 3-0 win at home to Cardiff.
How many goals are expected in Wrexham vs Wolves?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.20 for Wrexham and 1.80 for Wolves. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.