Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala match summary and prediction — Cup
Our model makes Krylia Sovetov the pick at 46% for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dinamo Makhachkala travel to Krylia Sovetov on 29 October 2026 at Samara Arena, Samara. Krylia Sovetov are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This group stage 5 fixture in Cup is listed as Krylia Sovetov - Dinamo Makhachkala. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Krylia Sovetov: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 9 conceded in eight matches, 1.25 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Dinamo Makhachkala: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Krylia Sovetov | Dinamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | DLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 1.12 | 1.33 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 27% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Krylia Sovetov two wins, Dinamo Makhachkala none wins, none draws — an edge to Krylia Sovetov.
- Most recent meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Krylia Sovetov on 04 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Krylia Sovetov's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Krylia Sovetov at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Krylia Sovetov's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Krylia Sovetov's way, especially at Samara Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Krylia Sovetov or Dinamo Makhachkala?
Krylia Sovetov, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Krylia Sovetov, 28% the draw and 27% Dinamo Makhachkala.
When and where is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala being played?
29 October 2026 at Samara Arena, Samara, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala?
Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Krylia Sovetov on 04 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala?
Krylia Sovetov have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), Dinamo Makhachkala 4 from theirs (DLLWL). Most recently Krylia Sovetov took a 2-0 win away at Rubin and Dinamo Makhachkala a 1-1 draw at home to Akron.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.20 for Dinamo Makhachkala. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.