Walsall vs Crawley Town match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Walsall the pick at 52% for Walsall vs Crawley Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Walsall host Crawley Town on 3 October 2026 at Bescot Stadium, Walsall. Walsall are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 9 fixture in League Two is listed as Walsall - Crawley Town. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Walsall: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 38 conceded in 24 matches, 1.0 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Crawley Town: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 24 conceded in 22 matches, 0.77 and 1.09 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.6 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Walsall | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 24th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDD | LLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 4 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 24 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.58 | 0.77 / 1.09 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.92 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 26.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 10% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Walsall 49.8 versus Crawley Town 26.6, a gap of 23.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 19 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 20% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Walsall's way at 66%.
The call
The model tilts to Walsall at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Walsall's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Walsall's way, especially at Bescot Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Walsall or Crawley Town?
Walsall, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Walsall, 38% the draw and 10% Crawley Town.
When and where is Walsall vs Crawley Town being played?
3 October 2026 at Bescot Stadium, Walsall, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Walsall and Crawley Town?
Walsall 0-0 Crawley Town on 27 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Walsall and Crawley Town?
Walsall have taken 6 points from their last five (DLWDD), Crawley Town 0 from theirs (LLLL). Most recently Walsall took a 1-1 draw away at Tranmere and Crawley Town a 1-4 defeat away at Milton Keynes Dons.
How many goals are expected in Walsall vs Crawley Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Walsall and 1.00 for Crawley Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 20%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.