Barnet vs Oldham: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Barnet the pick at 55% for Barnet vs Oldham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Barnet host Oldham on 24 October 2026 at The Hive Stadium, London. Barnet are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 13 fixture in League Two is listed as Barnet - Oldham. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Barnet: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 27 conceded in 23 matches, 1.74 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +8.
Oldham: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 25 conceded in 23 matches, 1.52 and 1.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 21st on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Barnet | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 21st |
| Goal difference | +8 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWD | LWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.74 / 1.17 | 1.52 / 1.09 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.96 | 1.52 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.0 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Barnet 67.0 versus Oldham 37.3, a gap of 29.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 19 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Barnet's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to Barnet at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Barnet's way, especially at The Hive Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Barnet or Oldham?
Barnet, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Barnet, 27% the draw and 19% Oldham.
When and where is Barnet vs Oldham being played?
24 October 2026 at The Hive Stadium, London, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Barnet and Oldham?
Barnet 3-2 Oldham on 24 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Barnet and Oldham?
Barnet have taken 7 points from their last four (LWWD), Oldham 7 from theirs (LWWD). Most recently Barnet took a 1-3 defeat at home to Swindon Town and Oldham a 0-3 defeat away at Walsall.
How many goals are expected in Barnet vs Oldham?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Barnet and 1.00 for Oldham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.