Chesterfield vs Crewe match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Chesterfield the pick at 60% for Chesterfield vs Crewe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Chesterfield host Crewe on 24 October 2026 at Proact Stadium, Chesterfield. Chesterfield are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 13 fixture in League Two is listed as Chesterfield - Crewe. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chesterfield: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 23 conceded in 24 matches, 1.33 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Crewe: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 28 conceded in 24 matches, 1.17 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Chesterfield | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWL | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 24 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.33 / 0.96 | 1.17 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.79 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.2 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Chesterfield 42.2 versus Crewe 59.3, a gap of 17.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Chesterfield's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Chesterfield at 60%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. Crewe's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chesterfield's way, especially at Proact Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chesterfield or Crewe?
Chesterfield, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Chesterfield, 20% the draw and 20% Crewe.
When and where is Chesterfield vs Crewe being played?
24 October 2026 at Proact Stadium, Chesterfield, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Chesterfield and Crewe?
Chesterfield 2-0 Crewe on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Crewe?
Chesterfield have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDWL), Crewe 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Chesterfield took a 1-1 draw at home to Colchester and Crewe a 0-2 defeat away at Exeter City.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Crewe?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.20 for Chesterfield and 1.20 for Crewe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.