Crawley Town vs Tranmere — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Crawley Town the pick at 47% for Crawley Town vs Tranmere. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Crawley Town host Tranmere on 24 October 2026 at Broadfield Stadium, Crawley. Crawley Town are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 13 fixture in League Two is listed as Crawley Town - Tranmere. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Crawley Town: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 24 conceded in 22 matches, 0.77 and 1.09 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.1 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -9.
Tranmere: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 39 conceded in 23 matches, 0.74 and 1.7 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Crawley Town | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -9 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDW | WLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 22 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.77 / 1.09 | 0.74 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 0.65 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.1 | 41.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Crawley Town 26.1 versus Tranmere 41.7, a gap of 15.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Crawley Town's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Crawley Town at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Tranmere's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Crawley Town's way, especially at Broadfield Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Crawley Town or Tranmere?
Crawley Town, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Crawley Town, 27% the draw and 26% Tranmere.
When and where is Crawley Town vs Tranmere being played?
24 October 2026 at Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Crawley Town and Tranmere?
Tranmere 2-0 Crawley Town on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Crawley Town and Tranmere?
Crawley Town have taken 4 points from their last four (LLDW), Tranmere 5 from theirs (WLDLD). Most recently Crawley Town took a 2-3 defeat at home to Shrewsbury and Tranmere a 1-0 win away at Northampton.
How many goals are expected in Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Crawley Town and 1.40 for Tranmere. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.