Colchester vs Walsall: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Colchester the pick at 46% for Colchester vs Walsall. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Walsall travel to Colchester on 31 October 2026 at Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester. Colchester are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 14 fixture in League Two is listed as Colchester - Walsall. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Colchester: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 22 conceded in 23 matches, 1.09 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 21st on a goal difference of -5.
Walsall: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 38 conceded in 24 matches, 1.0 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Colchester | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 21st | 6th |
| Goal difference | -5 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | LWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 5 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.09 / 0.96 | 1.0 / 1.58 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.8 | 46.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Colchester 33.8 versus Walsall 46.8, a gap of 13.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Colchester's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Colchester at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Walsall's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Colchester's way, especially at Colchester Community Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Colchester or Walsall?
Colchester, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Colchester, 26% the draw and 28% Walsall.
When and where is Colchester vs Walsall being played?
31 October 2026 at Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Colchester and Walsall?
Colchester 1-1 Walsall on 28 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Walsall?
Colchester have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Walsall 8 from theirs (LWDWD). Most recently Colchester took a 0-2 defeat away at Northampton and Walsall a 2-4 defeat at home to Salford City.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Walsall?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.40 for Colchester and 1.00 for Walsall. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.