Grimsby vs York match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Grimsby the pick at 67% for Grimsby vs York. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Grimsby face York on 31 October 2026 at Blundell Park, Grimsby. Grimsby are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This matchday 14 fixture in League Two is listed as Grimsby - York. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Grimsby: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.1 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +3.
York: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Grimsby | York |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLD | LWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.1 | 46.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 14% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Grimsby 39.1 versus York 46.5, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Grimsby's way at 69%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Grimsby at 67%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Grimsby's way, especially at Blundell Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Grimsby or York?
Grimsby, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% Grimsby, 19% the draw and 14% York.
When and where is Grimsby vs York being played?
31 October 2026 at Blundell Park, Grimsby, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have Grimsby and York met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and York?
Grimsby have taken 5 points from their last five (WDLLD), York 6 from theirs (LWDDD). Most recently Grimsby took a 4-1 win away at Gillingham and York a 1-3 defeat away at Barnet.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby vs York?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.20 for Grimsby and 1.80 for York. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.