Oldham vs Crawley Town match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Oldham the pick at 50% for Oldham vs Crawley Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Oldham face Crawley Town on 31 October 2026 at Boundary Park, Oldham. Oldham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 14 fixture in League Two is listed as Oldham - Crawley Town. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oldham: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 25 conceded in 23 matches, 1.52 and 1.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -4.
Crawley Town: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 24 conceded in 22 matches, 0.77 and 1.09 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.4 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Oldham | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 24th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWD | DLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.52 / 1.09 | 0.77 / 1.09 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.52 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 29.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Oldham 40.7 versus Crawley Town 29.4, a gap of 11.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Oldham's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Oldham at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Oldham's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Oldham's way, especially at Boundary Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oldham or Crawley Town?
Oldham, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Oldham, 26% the draw and 24% Crawley Town.
When and where is Oldham vs Crawley Town being played?
31 October 2026 at Boundary Park, Oldham, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Oldham and Crawley Town?
Oldham 2-0 Crawley Town on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Crawley Town?
Oldham have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWWD), Crawley Town 5 from theirs (DLLDW). Most recently Oldham took a 1-1 draw away at Barnet and Crawley Town a 1-1 draw at home to Tranmere.
How many goals are expected in Oldham vs Crawley Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Oldham and 1.00 for Crawley Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.