Swindon Town vs Rotherham: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Swindon Town the pick at 52% for Swindon Town vs Rotherham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Swindon Town face Rotherham on 31 October 2026 at County Ground, Swindon. Swindon Town are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 14 fixture in League Two is listed as Swindon Town - Rotherham. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Swindon Town: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Rotherham: they come in on two successive draws, following three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 15 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 2.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.2 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Swindon Town | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 22nd |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDLL | DDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 6 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.83 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 0.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 30.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Swindon Town 40.9 versus Rotherham 30.2, a gap of 10.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Swindon Town's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Swindon Town at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Swindon Town's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Swindon Town's way, especially at County Ground.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Swindon Town or Rotherham?
Swindon Town, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Swindon Town, 25% the draw and 23% Rotherham.
When and where is Swindon Town vs Rotherham being played?
31 October 2026 at County Ground, Swindon, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Swindon Town and Rotherham met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Rotherham?
Swindon Town have taken 5 points from their last five (DWDLL), Rotherham 2 from theirs (DDLLL). Most recently Swindon Town took a 0-0 draw away at Bristol Rovers and Rotherham a 3-3 draw at home to Shrewsbury.
How many goals are expected in Swindon Town vs Rotherham?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Swindon Town and 1.60 for Rotherham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.