Rotherham vs Crawley Town match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Crawley Town the pick at 40% for Rotherham vs Crawley Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Crawley Town travel to Rotherham on 14 November 2026 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Crawley Town are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 15 fixture in League Two is listed as Rotherham - Crawley Town. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rotherham: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 18 conceded in nine matches, 1.33 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.9 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -7.
Crawley Town: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 11 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rotherham | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 22nd | 24th |
| Goal difference | -7 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDD | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 5 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.38 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.67 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.9 | 39.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Rotherham 29.9 versus Crawley Town 39.7, a gap of 9.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Crawley Town's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Crawley Town at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Rotherham's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rotherham or Crawley Town?
Crawley Town, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 31% Rotherham, 29% the draw and 40% Crawley Town.
When and where is Rotherham vs Crawley Town being played?
14 November 2026 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Rotherham and Crawley Town met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Crawley Town?
Rotherham have taken 5 points from their last five (WLLDD), Crawley Town 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Rotherham took a 2-0 win away at Bromley and Crawley Town a 0-2 defeat away at Wimborne Town.
How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Rotherham and 1.00 for Crawley Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.