Salford City vs Northampton — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Salford City the pick at 61% for Salford City vs Northampton. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Salford City face Northampton on 14 November 2026 at Peninsula Stadium, Salford. Salford City are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 15 fixture in League Two is listed as Salford City - Northampton. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Salford City: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.29 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +10.
Northampton: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 10 conceded in eight matches, 0.62 and 1.25 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 21st on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Salford City | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 21st |
| Goal difference | +10 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | LLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 3 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.86 / 1.29 | 0.62 / 1.25 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.5 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Salford City 77.5 versus Northampton 48.1, a gap of 29.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 20 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Salford City's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Salford City at 61%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. Salford City's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Salford City's way, especially at Peninsula Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Salford City or Northampton?
Salford City, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% Salford City, 24% the draw and 15% Northampton.
When and where is Salford City vs Northampton being played?
14 November 2026 at Peninsula Stadium, Salford, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Salford City and Northampton met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Salford City and Northampton?
Salford City have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Northampton 4 from theirs (LLDWL). Most recently Salford City took a 0-1 defeat away at Carlisle and Northampton a 0-4 defeat away at York.
How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Northampton?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 2.00 for Salford City and 0.60 for Northampton. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.