Shrewsbury vs Oldham match summary and prediction — League Two
Our model makes Shrewsbury the pick at 53% for Shrewsbury vs Oldham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Shrewsbury face Oldham on 14 November 2026 at The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury. Shrewsbury are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 15 fixture in League Two is listed as Shrewsbury - Oldham. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Shrewsbury: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 13 conceded in nine matches, 1.33 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.1 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -5.
Oldham: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 10 conceded in eight matches, 0.75 and 1.25 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Shrewsbury | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDW | WWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 9 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.44 | 0.75 / 1.25 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.56 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.1 | 47.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 22% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Shrewsbury's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Shrewsbury at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Shrewsbury's way, especially at The Croud Meadow.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Shrewsbury or Oldham?
Shrewsbury, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Shrewsbury, 25% the draw and 22% Oldham.
When and where is Shrewsbury vs Oldham being played?
14 November 2026 at The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Shrewsbury and Oldham?
Shrewsbury 1-0 Oldham on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Shrewsbury and Oldham?
Shrewsbury have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWDW), Oldham 7 from theirs (WWLDL). Most recently Shrewsbury took a 2-1 win away at Eastleigh and Oldham a 2-1 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.
How many goals are expected in Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Shrewsbury and 1.00 for Oldham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.