Stockport County vs Leicester match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Stockport County the pick at 71% for Stockport County vs Leicester. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Leicester travel to Stockport County on 12 September 2026 at Edgeley Park, Stockport. Stockport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 71%. This matchday 6 fixture in League One is listed as Stockport County - Leicester. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Stockport County: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 36 conceded in 30 matches, 1.6 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Leicester: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (57 scored and 63 conceded in 45 matches, 1.27 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Stockport County | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 18th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 8 | 4 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 45 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.27 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.7 | 1.16 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.8 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 71% | 5% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Stockport County 56.8 versus Leicester 40.9, a gap of 15.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Stockport County's way at 73%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Stockport County at 71%, a gap of 46 percentage points to the next outcome. Stockport County's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Stockport County's way, especially at Edgeley Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stockport County or Leicester?
Stockport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 71%. The full split is 71% Stockport County, 25% the draw and 5% Leicester.
When and where is Stockport County vs Leicester being played?
12 September 2026 at Edgeley Park, Stockport, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Stockport County and Leicester met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Stockport County and Leicester?
Stockport County have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Leicester 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Stockport County took a 4-0 win away at Wigan and Leicester a 0-4 defeat at home to Oxford United.
How many goals are expected in Stockport County vs Leicester?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 1.75 for Stockport County and 1.60 for Leicester. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.