Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Leyton Orient the pick at 76% for Leyton Orient vs Plymouth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Plymouth travel to Leyton Orient on 3 October 2026 at Brisbane Road, London. Leyton Orient are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 76%. This matchday 9 fixture in League One is listed as Leyton Orient - Plymouth. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Leyton Orient: they come in on the back of a win, following three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and three defeats from the last four, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 33 conceded in 23 matches, 0.96 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +4.
Plymouth: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 2.04 and 1.42 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Leyton Orient | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 15 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.96 / 1.43 | 2.04 / 1.42 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.91 | 1.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 76% | 3% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Leyton Orient 49.3 versus Plymouth 55.8, a gap of 6.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 26%.
- First goal: Leans Leyton Orient's way at 79%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Leyton Orient at 76%, a gap of 55 percentage points to the next outcome. Plymouth's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leyton Orient's way, especially at Brisbane Road.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leyton Orient or Plymouth?
Leyton Orient, with an implied win probability of roughly 76%. The full split is 76% Leyton Orient, 21% the draw and 3% Plymouth.
When and where is Leyton Orient vs Plymouth being played?
3 October 2026 at Brisbane Road, London, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Leyton Orient and Plymouth?
Leyton Orient 1-3 Plymouth on 17 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Leyton Orient and Plymouth?
Leyton Orient have taken 3 points from their last four (WLLL), Plymouth 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Leyton Orient took a 1-0 win at home to Stevenage and Plymouth a 0-1 defeat at home to Burton Albion.
How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.80 for Leyton Orient and 0.80 for Plymouth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 23%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 26%, so its call is no.