Oxford United vs Stockport County: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Stockport County the pick at 46% for Oxford United vs Stockport County. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Oxford United face Stockport County on 27 October 2026 at Kassam Stadium, Oxford. Stockport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 9 fixture in League One is listed as Oxford United - Stockport County. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oxford United: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 58 conceded in 44 matches, 1.05 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +8.
Stockport County: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 36 conceded in 30 matches, 1.6 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Oxford United | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +8 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 9 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 44 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.05 / 1.32 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.7 | 71.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Oxford United 63.7 versus Stockport County 71.3, a gap of 7.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Stockport County's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Stockport County at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oxford United or Stockport County?
Stockport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 26% Oxford United, 28% the draw and 46% Stockport County.
When and where is Oxford United vs Stockport County being played?
27 October 2026 at Kassam Stadium, Oxford, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Oxford United and Stockport County met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oxford United and Stockport County?
Oxford United have taken 9 points from their last five (WDWDD), Stockport County 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Oxford United took a 2-1 win at home to Wigan and Stockport County a 2-0 win away at Doncaster.
How many goals are expected in Oxford United vs Stockport County?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.60 for Oxford United and 1.80 for Stockport County. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.