AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
AFC Wimbledon host Wycombe on 24 October 2026 at Plough Lane, Wimbledon. Wycombe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in League One is listed as AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
AFC Wimbledon: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 46 conceded in 26 matches, 1.27 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.9 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
Wycombe: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 34 conceded in 22 matches, 1.64 and 1.55 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLD | DWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 10 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 26 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.27 / 1.77 | 1.64 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.9 | 50.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: AFC Wimbledon 28.9 versus Wycombe 50.7, a gap of 21.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Wycombe's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Wycombe is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. Wycombe's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AFC Wimbledon or Wycombe?
Wycombe, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 36% AFC Wimbledon, 25% the draw and 40% Wycombe.
When and where is AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe being played?
24 October 2026 at Plough Lane, Wimbledon, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe?
AFC Wimbledon have taken 1 points from their last four (LLLD), Wycombe 7 from theirs (DWLW). Most recently AFC Wimbledon took a 0-3 defeat at home to Mansfield Town and Wycombe a 2-2 draw away at Cambridge United.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon and 2.00 for Wycombe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.