Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Blackpool the pick at 45% for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mansfield Town travel to Blackpool on 24 October 2026 at Bloomfield Road, Blackpool. Blackpool are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 13 fixture in League One is listed as Blackpool - Mansfield Town. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Blackpool: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 33 conceded in 23 matches, 1.09 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -1.
Mansfield Town: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 27 conceded in 26 matches, 1.42 and 1.04 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Blackpool | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLD | WDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.09 / 1.43 | 1.42 / 1.04 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.48 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.1 | 55.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Blackpool 38.1 versus Mansfield Town 55.2, a gap of 17.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Blackpool's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Blackpool at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Mansfield Town's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Blackpool's way, especially at Bloomfield Road.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Blackpool or Mansfield Town?
Blackpool, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Blackpool, 26% the draw and 29% Mansfield Town.
When and where is Blackpool vs Mansfield Town being played?
24 October 2026 at Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Blackpool and Mansfield Town?
Blackpool 1-0 Mansfield Town on 17 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Blackpool and Mansfield Town?
Blackpool have taken 4 points from their last four (WLLD), Mansfield Town 7 from theirs (WDWL). Most recently Blackpool took a 2-0 win at home to Milton Keynes Dons and Mansfield Town a 3-0 win away at AFC Wimbledon.
How many goals are expected in Blackpool vs Mansfield Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.60 for Blackpool and 1.00 for Mansfield Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.