Cambridge United vs Plymouth match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Plymouth the pick at 38% for Cambridge United vs Plymouth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cambridge United face Plymouth on 24 October 2026 at Abbey Stadium, Cambridge. Plymouth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 13 fixture in League One is listed as Cambridge United - Plymouth. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cambridge United: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (43 scored and 17 conceded in 25 matches, 1.72 and 0.68 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Plymouth: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 2.04 and 1.42 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cambridge United | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWD | LLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 25 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.72 / 0.68 | 2.04 / 1.42 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.8 | 1.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.0 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cambridge United 56.0 versus Plymouth 45.2, a gap of 10.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Plymouth's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Plymouth at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Cambridge United's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cambridge United or Plymouth?
Plymouth, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 33% Cambridge United, 29% the draw and 38% Plymouth.
When and where is Cambridge United vs Plymouth being played?
24 October 2026 at Abbey Stadium, Cambridge, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Cambridge United and Plymouth met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cambridge United and Plymouth?
Cambridge United have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWWD), Plymouth 7 from theirs (LLWDW). Most recently Cambridge United took a 2-2 draw at home to Wycombe and Plymouth a 0-3 defeat away at Stevenage.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge United vs Plymouth?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Cambridge United and 2.20 for Plymouth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.