Notts County vs Stockport County: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Stockport County the pick at 40% for Notts County vs Stockport County. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Notts County host Stockport County on 24 October 2026 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham. Stockport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in League One is listed as Notts County - Stockport County. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Notts County: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 28 conceded in 26 matches, 1.54 and 1.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.2 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -3.
Stockport County: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 36 conceded in 30 matches, 1.6 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Notts County | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -3 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 9 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 26 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.54 / 1.08 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.73 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.2 | 71.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Notts County 34.2 versus Stockport County 71.3, a gap of 37.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 17 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Stockport County's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Stockport County at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Notts County or Stockport County?
Stockport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 30% Notts County, 30% the draw and 40% Stockport County.
When and where is Notts County vs Stockport County being played?
24 October 2026 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Notts County and Stockport County met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Stockport County?
Notts County have taken 6 points from their last four (WLWL), Stockport County 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Notts County took a 2-0 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday and Stockport County a 2-0 win away at Doncaster.
How many goals are expected in Notts County vs Stockport County?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.20 for Notts County and 1.80 for Stockport County. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.