Oxford United vs Bradford match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Bradford the pick at 45% for Oxford United vs Bradford. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Oxford United host Bradford on 24 October 2026 at Kassam Stadium, Oxford. Bradford are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 13 fixture in League One is listed as Oxford United - Bradford. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Oxford United: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 58 conceded in 44 matches, 1.05 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +8.
Bradford: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 30 conceded in 25 matches, 1.0 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Oxford United | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +8 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDD | DWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 7 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 44 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.05 / 1.32 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.7 | 56.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Oxford United 63.7 versus Bradford 56.2, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Bradford's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Bradford at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oxford United or Bradford?
Bradford, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 27% Oxford United, 28% the draw and 45% Bradford.
When and where is Oxford United vs Bradford being played?
24 October 2026 at Kassam Stadium, Oxford, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Oxford United and Bradford met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oxford United and Bradford?
Oxford United have taken 9 points from their last five (WDWDD), Bradford 9 from theirs (DWDWD). Most recently Oxford United took a 2-1 win at home to Wigan and Bradford a 0-0 draw away at Burton Albion.
How many goals are expected in Oxford United vs Bradford?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for Oxford United and 1.60 for Bradford. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.