Leicester vs Stevenage match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Leicester the pick at 48% for Leicester vs Stevenage. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leicester face Stevenage on 31 October 2026 at King Power Stadium, Leicester. Leicester are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 14 fixture in League One is listed as Leicester - Stevenage. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Leicester: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (57 scored and 63 conceded in 45 matches, 1.27 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +3.
Stevenage: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 29 conceded in 27 matches, 0.89 and 1.07 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Leicester | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWL | LWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 45 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.27 / 1.4 | 0.89 / 1.07 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.16 | 1.48 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.8 | 46.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Leicester 55.8 versus Stevenage 46.0, a gap of 9.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Leicester's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Leicester at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leicester's way, especially at King Power Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leicester or Stevenage?
Leicester, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Leicester, 24% the draw and 28% Stevenage.
When and where is Leicester vs Stevenage being played?
31 October 2026 at King Power Stadium, Leicester, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Leicester and Stevenage met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Stevenage?
Leicester have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWWL), Stevenage 9 from theirs (LWLWW). Most recently Leicester took a 3-0 win at home to Wigan and Stevenage a 0-1 defeat at home to Milton Keynes Dons.
How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Stevenage?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.00 for Leicester and 1.80 for Stevenage. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.