Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Leyton Orient and Cambridge United on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Leyton Orient face Cambridge United on 31 October 2026 at Matchroom Stadium, London. Leyton Orient are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 14 fixture in League One is listed as Leyton Orient - Cambridge United. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Leyton Orient: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.57 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of +2.
Cambridge United: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Leyton Orient | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDL | DLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 5 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.86 / 1.57 | 1.83 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 52.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 37% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Leyton Orient 38.8 versus Cambridge United 52.4, a gap of 13.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Cambridge United's way at 52%.
The call
The model does not commit. Leyton Orient is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leyton Orient's way, especially at Matchroom Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leyton Orient or Cambridge United?
Leyton Orient, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Leyton Orient, 24% the draw and 37% Cambridge United.
When and where is Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United being played?
31 October 2026 at Matchroom Stadium, London, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have Leyton Orient and Cambridge United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Leyton Orient and Cambridge United?
Leyton Orient have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWDL), Cambridge United 8 from theirs (DLDWW). Most recently Leyton Orient took a 1-2 defeat away at Burton Albion and Cambridge United a 1-1 draw away at Sheffield Wednesday.
How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.20 for Leyton Orient and 1.80 for Cambridge United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.