Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Stockport County the pick at 66% for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
AFC Wimbledon travel to Stockport County on 31 October 2026 at Edgeley Park, Stockport. Stockport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This matchday 14 fixture in League One is listed as Stockport County - AFC Wimbledon. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stockport County: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
AFC Wimbledon: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.9 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Stockport County | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 17th |
| Goal difference | +11 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWW | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 3 | 3 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.17 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.1 | 28.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 15% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Stockport County two wins, AFC Wimbledon none wins, none draws — an edge to Stockport County.
- Most recent meeting: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Stockport County on 15 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Stockport County 61.1 versus AFC Wimbledon 28.9, a gap of 32.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Stockport County's way at 69%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Stockport County at 66%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. Stockport County's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Stockport County's way, especially at Edgeley Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stockport County or AFC Wimbledon?
Stockport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Stockport County, 19% the draw and 15% AFC Wimbledon.
When and where is Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon being played?
31 October 2026 at Edgeley Park, Stockport, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon?
AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Stockport County on 15 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon?
Stockport County have taken 10 points from their last five (LDWWW), AFC Wimbledon 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Stockport County took a 0-1 defeat away at Oxford United and AFC Wimbledon a 1-2 defeat at home to Arsenal U21.
How many goals are expected in Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Stockport County and 1.20 for AFC Wimbledon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.