Wycombe vs Burton Albion: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Wycombe the pick at 54% for Wycombe vs Burton Albion. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wycombe face Burton Albion on 31 October 2026 at Adams Park, High Wycombe. Wycombe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 14 fixture in League One is listed as Wycombe - Burton Albion. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Wycombe: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Burton Albion: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Wycombe | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLW | WDDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 8 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.83 / 1.83 | 1.83 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.0 | 41.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Wycombe 44.0 versus Burton Albion 41.4, a gap of 2.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Wycombe's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Wycombe at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Wycombe's way, especially at Adams Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wycombe or Burton Albion?
Wycombe, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Wycombe, 21% the draw and 25% Burton Albion.
When and where is Wycombe vs Burton Albion being played?
31 October 2026 at Adams Park, High Wycombe, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Wycombe and Burton Albion?
Wycombe 3-0 Burton Albion on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Wycombe and Burton Albion?
Wycombe have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWLW), Burton Albion 6 from theirs (WDDLD). Most recently Wycombe took a 1-1 draw away at AFC Wimbledon and Burton Albion a 2-1 win at home to Leyton Orient.
How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Burton Albion?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Wycombe and 2.00 for Burton Albion. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.