AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Blackpool the pick at 46% for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
AFC Wimbledon face Blackpool on 14 November 2026 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London. Blackpool are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 15 fixture in League One is listed as AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
AFC Wimbledon: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 12 conceded in eight matches, 1.12 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -12.
Blackpool: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 1.75 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 10 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.12 / 1.5 | 1.75 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.3 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 46% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: AFC Wimbledon 25.3 versus Blackpool 37.3, a gap of 12.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Blackpool's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Blackpool at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Blackpool's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AFC Wimbledon or Blackpool?
Blackpool, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 28% AFC Wimbledon, 26% the draw and 46% Blackpool.
When and where is AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool being played?
14 November 2026 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool on 11 March 2026.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), Blackpool 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently AFC Wimbledon took a 1-2 defeat away at Crewe and Blackpool a 2-1 win away at AFC Hornchurch.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.80 for Blackpool. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.