Bromley vs Notts County match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Notts County the pick at 40% for Bromley vs Notts County. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bromley face Notts County on 14 November 2026 at Hayes Lane, London. Notts County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 15 fixture in League One is listed as Bromley - Notts County. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bromley: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 20 conceded in eight matches, 0.88 and 2.5 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.3 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -20.
Notts County: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bromley | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -20 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | DWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 14 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 2.5 | 1.14 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.38 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.3 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bromley 23.3 versus Notts County 48.1, a gap of 24.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Bromley's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Notts County at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Notts County's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bromley or Notts County?
Notts County, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 34% Bromley, 26% the draw and 40% Notts County.
When and where is Bromley vs Notts County being played?
14 November 2026 at Hayes Lane, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bromley and Notts County?
Bromley 1-1 Notts County on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Bromley and Notts County?
Bromley have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), Notts County 8 from theirs (DWDWL). Most recently Bromley took a 0-2 defeat at home to Rotherham and Notts County a 2-2 draw away at Altrincham.
How many goals are expected in Bromley vs Notts County?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Bromley and 1.20 for Notts County. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.