Peterborough vs Oxford United: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Oxford United the pick at 39% for Peterborough vs Oxford United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Peterborough host Oxford United on 14 November 2026 at Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough. Oxford United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 15 fixture in League One is listed as Peterborough - Oxford United. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Peterborough: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 18 conceded in ten matches, 0.9 and 1.8 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 22nd on a goal difference of -12.
Oxford United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 7 conceded in nine matches, 1.33 and 0.78 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Peterborough | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 22nd | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -12 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | LWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 14 | 4 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.33 / 0.78 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.8 | 1.56 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.7 | 64.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 39% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Peterborough 38.7 versus Oxford United 64.4, a gap of 25.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 19 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Peterborough's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Oxford United at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Oxford United's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Peterborough or Oxford United?
Oxford United, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 34% Peterborough, 27% the draw and 39% Oxford United.
When and where is Peterborough vs Oxford United being played?
14 November 2026 at Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Peterborough and Oxford United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Oxford United?
Peterborough have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), Oxford United 8 from theirs (LWDWD). Most recently Peterborough took a 0-5 defeat at home to Reading and Oxford United a 0-1 defeat at home to Stevenage.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough vs Oxford United?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for Peterborough and 0.80 for Oxford United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.