Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth match summary and prediction — League One
Our model makes Plymouth the pick at 54% for Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Plymouth travel to Sheffield Wednesday on 14 November 2026 at Hillsborough, Sheffield. Plymouth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 15 fixture in League One is listed as Sheffield Wednesday - Plymouth. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sheffield Wednesday: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 8 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +8.
Plymouth: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 6 conceded in seven matches, 2.14 and 0.86 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sheffield Wednesday | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLL | WDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 8 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.14 / 0.86 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 2.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.7 | 48.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 24% | 54% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Sheffield Wednesday two wins, Plymouth none wins, none draws — an edge to Sheffield Wednesday.
- Most recent meeting: Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday on 08 March 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Sheffield Wednesday 43.7 versus Plymouth 48.8, a gap of 5.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Plymouth's way at 60%.
The call
The model tilts to Plymouth at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Plymouth's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sheffield Wednesday or Plymouth?
Plymouth, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 24% Sheffield Wednesday, 23% the draw and 54% Plymouth.
When and where is Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth being played?
14 November 2026 at Hillsborough, Sheffield, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth?
Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday on 08 March 2025.
What is the recent form of Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth?
Sheffield Wednesday have taken 2 points from their last five (LDDLL), Plymouth 7 from theirs (WDWLL). Most recently Sheffield Wednesday took a 1-2 defeat away at Oldham and Plymouth a 4-0 win at home to Alvechurch.
How many goals are expected in Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 0.60 for Sheffield Wednesday and 2.60 for Plymouth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.