Stevenage vs Mansfield Town — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Stevenage the pick at 39% for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Stevenage host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026 at Lamex Stadium, Stevenage. Stevenage are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 15 fixture in League One is listed as Stevenage - Mansfield Town. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stevenage: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 6 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 0.86 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of +4.
Mansfield Town: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 12 conceded in eight matches, 0.88 and 1.5 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Stevenage | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWL | WDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 10 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.71 / 0.86 | 0.88 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 52.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Stevenage 49.3 versus Mansfield Town 52.2, a gap of 2.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Stevenage's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Stevenage at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Stevenage's way, especially at Lamex Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stevenage or Mansfield Town?
Stevenage, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Stevenage, 29% the draw and 31% Mansfield Town.
When and where is Stevenage vs Mansfield Town being played?
14 November 2026 at Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Stevenage and Mansfield Town?
Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town on 24 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Mansfield Town?
Stevenage have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLWL), Mansfield Town 10 from theirs (WDLWW). Most recently Stevenage took a 1-0 win away at Oxford United and Mansfield Town a 3-0 win at home to Macclesfield.
How many goals are expected in Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Stevenage and 1.40 for Mansfield Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.