Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Uta Arad travel to Arges Pitesti on 24 October 2026 at Stadionul Orasenesc, Ovidiu. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 36%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 13 fixture in Liga I is listed as Arges Pitesti - Uta Arad. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Arges Pitesti: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 16 conceded in 15 matches, 0.8 and 1.07 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -5.
Uta Arad: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.36 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWL | WLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.8 / 1.07 | 1.36 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.87 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.4 | 54.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Arges Pitesti 30.4 versus Uta Arad 54.5, a gap of 24.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Arges Pitesti's way at 45%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. Uta Arad's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arges Pitesti or Uta Arad?
Neither side. Our model splits it 32% Arges Pitesti, 36% the draw and 33% Uta Arad, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadionul Orasenesc, Ovidiu, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad?
Arges Pitesti 0-1 Uta Arad on 31 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad?
Arges Pitesti have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDWL), Uta Arad 9 from theirs (WLWLW). Most recently Arges Pitesti took a 2-2 draw away at Universitatea Cluj and Uta Arad a 1-0 win at home to CFR 1907 Cluj.
How many goals are expected in Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for Arges Pitesti and 1.60 for Uta Arad. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.