FCSB vs Rapid: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FCSB the pick at 54% for FCSB vs Rapid. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FCSB host Rapid on 24 October 2026 at Arena Națională, Bucharest. FCSB are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 13 fixture in Liga I is listed as FCSB - Rapid. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FCSB: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 42 conceded in 28 matches, 1.82 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Rapid: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 23 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.28 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
Side by side
| Statistic | FCSB | Rapid |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 13 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 28 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.82 / 1.5 | 1.11 / 1.28 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 77.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FCSB 47.8 versus Rapid 77.8, a gap of 29.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans FCSB's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to FCSB at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FCSB's way, especially at Arena Națională.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FCSB or Rapid?
FCSB, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% FCSB, 22% the draw and 24% Rapid.
When and where is FCSB vs Rapid being played?
24 October 2026 at Arena Națională, Bucharest, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FCSB and Rapid?
FCSB 2-1 Rapid on 21 December 2025.
What is the recent form of FCSB and Rapid?
FCSB have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLDL), Rapid 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently FCSB took a 2-1 win away at FC Voluntari and Rapid a 2-0 win at home to Corvinul Hunedoara.
How many goals are expected in FCSB vs Rapid?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for FCSB and 1.40 for Rapid. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.