Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Oţelul the pick at 54% for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Oţelul face Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on 1 November 2026 at Stadionul Otelul, Galati. Oţelul are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 14 fixture in Liga I is listed as Oţelul - Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oţelul: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -6.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Oţelul | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDL | DLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 3 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.8 | 35.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Oţelul 26.8 versus Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 35.8, a gap of 9.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Oţelul's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Oţelul at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Oţelul's way, especially at Stadionul Otelul.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oţelul or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Oţelul, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Oţelul, 22% the draw and 24% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
When and where is Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe being played?
1 November 2026 at Stadionul Otelul, Galati, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Oţelul and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oţelul and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Oţelul have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLDL), Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3 from theirs (DLDLD). Most recently Oţelul took a 3-4 defeat away at Farul Constanta and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 1-1 draw away at Concordia.
How many goals are expected in Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.80 for Oţelul and 0.80 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.