Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani match summary and prediction — Liga I
Our model makes Universitatea Craiova the pick at 68% for Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Universitatea Craiova host FC Botosani on 1 November 2026 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova. Universitatea Craiova are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 68%. This matchday 14 fixture in Liga I is listed as Universitatea Craiova - FC Botosani. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Universitatea Craiova: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 4 conceded in ten matches, 2.4 and 0.4 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 80.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +23.
FC Botosani: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Universitatea Craiova | FC Botosani |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +23 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWD | DLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 3 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 80.8 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 68% | 10% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Universitatea Craiova 80.8 versus FC Botosani 38.3, a gap of 42.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Universitatea Craiova's way at 71%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Universitatea Craiova at 68%, a gap of 46 percentage points to the next outcome. Universitatea Craiova's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Universitatea Craiova's way, especially at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Universitatea Craiova or FC Botosani?
Universitatea Craiova, with an implied win probability of roughly 68%. The full split is 68% Universitatea Craiova, 22% the draw and 10% FC Botosani.
When and where is Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani being played?
1 November 2026 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Universitatea Craiova and FC Botosani?
Universitatea Craiova 2-0 FC Botosani on 24 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Universitatea Craiova and FC Botosani?
Universitatea Craiova have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWWD), FC Botosani 4 from theirs (DLLWL). Most recently Universitatea Craiova took a 1-1 draw away at FC Voluntari and FC Botosani a 2-2 draw away at Uta Arad.
How many goals are expected in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 3.00 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.60 for FC Botosani. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.