Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti match summary and prediction — Liga I
Our model makes Uta Arad the pick at 52% for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Petrolul Ploiesti travel to Uta Arad on 6 November 2026 at Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad. Uta Arad are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 15 fixture in Liga I is listed as Uta Arad - Petrolul Ploiesti. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Uta Arad: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -3.
Petrolul Ploiesti: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Uta Arad | Petrolul Ploiesti |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWL | DWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.14 | 1.5 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.2 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Uta Arad 54.2 versus Petrolul Ploiesti 51.9, a gap of 2.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Uta Arad's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Uta Arad at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Uta Arad's way, especially at Arena Francisc Neuman.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Uta Arad or Petrolul Ploiesti?
Uta Arad, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Uta Arad, 25% the draw and 23% Petrolul Ploiesti.
When and where is Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti being played?
6 November 2026 at Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Uta Arad and Petrolul Ploiesti?
Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Uta Arad on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Uta Arad and Petrolul Ploiesti?
Uta Arad have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWWL), Petrolul Ploiesti 8 from theirs (DWWDL). Most recently Uta Arad took a 0-2 defeat away at Dinamo Bucuresti and Petrolul Ploiesti a 1-1 draw at home to CFR 1907 Cluj.
How many goals are expected in Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.80 for Uta Arad and 1.80 for Petrolul Ploiesti. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.