Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the pick at 54% for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Zorya Luhansk travel to Shakhtar Donetsk on 24 October 2026 at Arena Lviv, Lviv. Shakhtar Donetsk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Shakhtar Donetsk: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 78.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
Zorya Luhansk: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored eight and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Shakhtar Donetsk | Zorya Luhansk |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 7th |
| Goal difference | +15 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 3 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 78.8 | 51.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Shakhtar Donetsk 78.8 versus Zorya Luhansk 51.4, a gap of 27.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Shakhtar Donetsk's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Shakhtar Donetsk at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Shakhtar Donetsk's way, especially at Arena Lviv.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Shakhtar Donetsk or Zorya Luhansk?
Shakhtar Donetsk, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Shakhtar Donetsk, 23% the draw and 23% Zorya Luhansk.
When and where is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk being played?
24 October 2026 at Arena Lviv, Lviv, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Shakhtar Donetsk and Zorya Luhansk met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Shakhtar Donetsk and Zorya Luhansk?
Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Zorya Luhansk 10 from theirs (WWWLD). Most recently Shakhtar Donetsk took a 0-1 defeat away at Inter and Zorya Luhansk a 2-1 win at home to Chornomorets.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.60 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 2.00 for Zorya Luhansk. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.