Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Zorya Luhansk the pick at 47% for Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Zorya Luhansk host Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on 2 November 2026 at Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia. Zorya Luhansk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 11 fixture in Premier League is listed as Zorya Luhansk - Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Zorya Luhansk: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Zorya Luhansk | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | WLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.4 | 27.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Zorya Luhansk 51.4 versus Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 27.3, a gap of 24.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Zorya Luhansk's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Zorya Luhansk at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Zorya Luhansk's way, especially at Slavutych-Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zorya Luhansk or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Zorya Luhansk, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Zorya Luhansk, 31% the draw and 22% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
When and where is Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi being played?
2 November 2026 at Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Zorya Luhansk have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 5 from theirs (WLDLD). Most recently Zorya Luhansk took a 1-1 draw at home to Kryvbas KR and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 2-1 win away at Chernihiv.
How many goals are expected in Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 1.00 for Zorya Luhansk and 1.50 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.