Karpaty vs Kudrivka: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Karpaty the pick at 59% for Karpaty vs Kudrivka. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Karpaty host Kudrivka on 2 November 2026 at Ukraina Stadium, Lviv. Karpaty are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 11 fixture in Premier League is listed as Karpaty - Kudrivka. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Karpaty: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +9.
Kudrivka: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Karpaty | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.2 | 31.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Karpaty 47.2 versus Kudrivka 31.8, a gap of 15.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Karpaty's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Karpaty at 59%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. Karpaty's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Karpaty's way, especially at Ukraina Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Karpaty or Kudrivka?
Karpaty, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Karpaty, 25% the draw and 17% Kudrivka.
When and where is Karpaty vs Kudrivka being played?
2 November 2026 at Ukraina Stadium, Lviv, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Karpaty and Kudrivka met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Karpaty and Kudrivka?
Karpaty have taken 8 points from their last five (WDDLW), Kudrivka 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Karpaty took a 2-1 win at home to Oleksandria and Kudrivka a 1-3 defeat away at Dynamo Kyiv.
How many goals are expected in Karpaty vs Kudrivka?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Karpaty and 1.00 for Kudrivka. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.