FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between FC Kharkiv and Karpaty on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
FC Kharkiv face Karpaty on 7 November 2026 at Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 37%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 12 fixture in Premier League is listed as FC Kharkiv - Karpaty. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Kharkiv: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored eight and conceded four, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +11.
Karpaty: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Kharkiv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +11 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWW | WWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.8 | 48.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Kharkiv 77.8 versus Karpaty 48.5, a gap of 29.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.33, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Karpaty's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Kharkiv or Karpaty?
Neither side. Our model splits it 37% FC Kharkiv, 37% the draw and 26% Karpaty, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty being played?
7 November 2026 at Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have FC Kharkiv and Karpaty met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Kharkiv and Karpaty?
FC Kharkiv have taken 12 points from their last four (WWWW), Karpaty 8 from theirs (WWDDL). Most recently FC Kharkiv took a 2-1 win away at Mayak Sarny and Karpaty a 5-0 win at home to Kudrivka.
How many goals are expected in FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.33 — 2.00 for FC Kharkiv and 2.33 for Karpaty. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.