SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes SKN ST. Polten the pick at 50% for SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
SKN ST. Polten host WSPG Wels on 30 October 2026 at NV Arena. SKN ST. Polten are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 11 fixture in 2. Liga is listed as SKN ST. Polten - WSPG Wels. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
SKN ST. Polten: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
WSPG Wels: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded 14, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | SKN ST. Polten | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWW | LDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 9 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.2 | 35.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: SKN ST. Polten 51.2 versus WSPG Wels 35.3, a gap of 15.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans SKN ST. Polten's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to SKN ST. Polten at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. WSPG Wels' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts SKN ST. Polten's way, especially at NV Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SKN ST. Polten or WSPG Wels?
SKN ST. Polten, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% SKN ST. Polten, 25% the draw and 25% WSPG Wels.
When and where is SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels being played?
30 October 2026 at NV Arena, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels?
SKN ST. Polten have taken 8 points from their last five (DDLWW), WSPG Wels 5 from theirs (LDWDL). Most recently SKN ST. Polten took a 1-1 draw away at SV Kapfenberg and WSPG Wels a 2-6 defeat at home to Voitsberg.
How many goals are expected in SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.00 for SKN ST. Polten and 1.35 for WSPG Wels. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.