WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes WSPG Wels the pick at 46% for WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
WSPG Wels host Sturm Graz II on 7 November 2026 at Huber-Arena, Wels. WSPG Wels are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 12 fixture in 2. Liga is listed as WSPG Wels - Sturm Graz II. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
WSPG Wels: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.1 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -13.
Sturm Graz II: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | WSPG Wels | Sturm Graz II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -13 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDW | WLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 5 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.1 | 36.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: WSPG Wels 35.1 versus Sturm Graz II 36.8, a gap of 1.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans WSPG Wels' way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to WSPG Wels at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. WSPG Wels' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts WSPG Wels's way, especially at Huber-Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: WSPG Wels or Sturm Graz II?
WSPG Wels, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% WSPG Wels, 24% the draw and 29% Sturm Graz II.
When and where is WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II being played?
7 November 2026 at Huber-Arena, Wels, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II?
WSPG Wels have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLDW), Sturm Graz II 4 from theirs (WLLLD). Most recently WSPG Wels took a 1-2 defeat away at SKN ST. Polten and Sturm Graz II a 2-0 win at home to Voitsberg.
How many goals are expected in WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for WSPG Wels and 1.35 for Sturm Graz II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.