Leganes vs Granada CF: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Leganes the pick at 60% for Leganes vs Granada CF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Leganes face Granada CF on 20 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes. Leganes are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 6 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Leganes - Granada CF. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Leganes: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 28 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of 0.
Granada CF: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 36 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Leganes | Granada CF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 10th |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | DLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 3 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.35 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.13 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.7 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 7% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams to score at 32%.
- First goal: Leans Leganes' way at 76%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Leganes at 60%, a gap of 26 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leganes's way, especially at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leganes or Granada CF?
Leganes, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Leganes, 33% the draw and 7% Granada CF.
When and where is Leganes vs Granada CF being played?
20 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Leganes and Granada CF?
Leganes 1-0 Granada CF on 06 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Leganes and Granada CF?
Leganes have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Granada CF 8 from theirs (DLWWD). Most recently Leganes took a 0-2 defeat away at Tenerife and Granada CF a 1-1 draw at home to Albacete.
How many goals are expected in Leganes vs Granada CF?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Leganes and 1.40 for Granada CF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 32%, so its call is no.