Girona vs Albacete: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for Girona vs Albacete. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Girona host Albacete on 25 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 7 fixture in Segunda División is listed as Girona - Albacete. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Girona: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 50 conceded in 34 matches, 0.97 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Albacete: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 26 conceded in 23 matches, 1.52 and 1.13 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.8 out of 100, and they sit 21st on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Girona | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 21st |
| Goal difference | +4 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWL | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 7 | 3 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 34 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.97 / 1.47 | 1.52 / 1.13 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.03 | 1.61 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.0 | 26.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Girona 56.0 versus Albacete 26.8, a gap of 29.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Girona's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Girona's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Girona or Albacete?
Neither side. Our model splits it 32% Girona, 48% the draw and 21% Albacete, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Girona vs Albacete being played?
25 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
Have Girona and Albacete met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Girona and Albacete?
Girona have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWWL), Albacete 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Girona took a 2-1 win away at Cadiz and Albacete a 1-2 defeat at home to Cordoba.
How many goals are expected in Girona vs Albacete?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for Girona and 1.20 for Albacete. It rates over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.